Are Predictions Useful?

<quote from Real Faith & Reason, vol 2>

Are Predictions useful?

Predictions are useful and important. For example, we predict turning the steering wheel will have an expected effect on the direction the car is going, so we steer the car. As another example, we predict working hard will increase the odds of making progress toward our goals, so we work hard. As another case in point, we predict injuring ourselves will cause pain, so we avoid injuring ourselves. So, from these examples, we can see we take many actions based on predictions. At the same time, some people use predictions to “prove” their speculations. They deceive themselves. They affirm the consequent. Some scientists think predictions “prove” theories. That’s irrational. Without divine revelation, the brute-beast human mind can’t think rationally beyond what it can observe and test. When it tries, it relies on smokescreen fallacies like affirming the consequent.

<end quote>

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